5 min read

When Will Used Car Prices Drop? 3 Things Car Shoppers Should Know

John avatar by John C. Baldwin
5 min read
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If you’re in the market for a used car, you might wonder when prices will start dropping. Unfortunately, there’s no easy answer to this question. Used car prices are determined by a number of factors, including demand, supply, and the condition of the vehicles.

1. Why did used car prices go up in the first place?

In recent years, used car prices have been on the rise. This is due to a number of factors, including a strong economy and an increase in the number of people buying new cars. As more people trade in their old vehicles for new ones, the supply of used cars decreases, and prices go up.

Additionally, when more companies started allowing employees to work remotely, auto dealers made the decision to cut back on placing new vehicle orders. Reasonably so, as merchants were concerned about being forced to keep more goods than they could possibly sell.

When will used car prices drop depends on several factors

The timing of when used car prices will drop depends on several factors, including the health of the economy and the average age of vehicles on the road. In general, prices will start to decline when there is a recession or when there are newer vehicles on the road (as people trade in their old cars for new ones).

The cost of gas is another aspect. People are less likely to purchase new cars when gas prices are high and may opt to buy used vehicles instead.

Additionally, interest rates have an impact on whether customers choose to purchase new or used cars because they have a significant impact on monthly car loan payments.

People are more likely to purchase used cars when rates are high because they are looking to save money. When rates are low, fewer individuals buy used cars because they can afford to make larger monthly payments on new vehicles.

2. How much will the price of a used car drop?

The amount that used car prices will drop depends on a number of factors, including how much new car prices have fallen and how many used cars are available for sale. Generally, prices will fall by about 10–15% from their peak during a recession. However, if there is an abundance of used cars for sale (e. g., due to an increase in lease returns), prices could fall even more.

3. Should I wait to buy a used car?

If you’re thinking about buying a used car, it’s generally best to wait until prices have started to drop before making your purchase. However, keep in mind that timing is difficult to predict and you may not want to wait too long as prices could continue to fall and you may miss out on your desired model or trim level. Ultimately, it’s important to strike a balance between getting a good deal and getting the car you want. If you’re flexible on which vehicle you purchase, you may be able to find a great deal by waiting for prices to bottom out before making your purchase. On the other hand, if you have your heart set on a particular model or trim level that’s in high demand, it may be best to buy sooner rather than later before prices start creeping back up again.

What about new car prices?

New car prices are also influenced by economic conditions but tend to be less volatile than used car prices since the demand for new cars is much more stable. In general, new car prices will start to decline when there is an economic recession but will not fall as sharply as used car prices. As such, if you’re considering buying a new car, it’s generally better to wait until after an economic recession has started before making your purchase.

Final thoughts

That said, there are a few things car shoppers can do to try to get the best deal on a used car. First, it’s important to be patient and shop around. Second, don’t be afraid to negotiate with sellers. And finally, make sure you inspect the vehicle thoroughly using the vin decoder before making a purchase. By following these tips, you should be able to get a great deal on a used car.

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